The prototype Chinese space station, Tiangong-1, which went out of control, is approaching towards Earth and is possibly making re-entry into the atmosphere in this week, however, there is basically zero chance that the wreckage would affect residents on Earth surface.

After about two years of going out of control, China’s first human space station Tiagong-1 is expected to drop out of its orbit and take a plunge into Earth’s atmosphere this week. As per reports by the European Space Agency, Tiagong-1 will make re-entry into atmosphere sometime between March 30th and April 2nd – and most likely on April 1. Considering that the uncontrolled space station is pretty heavy, weighing about 8500 kilograms and also fairly dense, most of it will burn up into plummets in the atmosphere – however, there are some chances that big chunks of wreckage will survive all the way down to the surface.

Also, it is impossible to identify the exact re-entry location and it can only be detected until the last two hours before it starts to fall based on international precedents. But here’s the glitch – we know that 70% of the Earth is covered with water and most of the rest of it is sparsely populated. So the probability of Tiangong-1 debris crashing into deep oceans or sea are higher than that on land. The European Space Agency has given out a map displaying the area where crash is possible – because it is waffling between 43 degrees North and 43 degrees South latitude, which covers most of South America, Africa, and Australia, as well as portions of North America, Asia, and Europe. Here.

And even if any of the space station does reach the surface, it is incredibly unlikely it will hit any person, let alone you. So don’t worry about getting hit by the falling space station. For example, when Delta rocket made re-entry in 1997, a woman was struck on the shoulder by an object, believed to be part of a Delta rocket – and she was not injured. Perhaps, she is the only person ever struck by spaceship debris. That means the chance it would hit any particular person – you, for example, – is about one in 21 trillion. It is hard to imagine a more unlikely way to die.

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