While exit poll results for the Assembly Elections at Uttar Pradesh, Manipur, Punjab and Goa are expected to release today evening, the results of UP election will decide the picture of Modi Government. The elections will also canvas the picture of PM Modi’s future in Indian politics. Will this election prove to be an elixir or will turn the flags down?

The 2017 Assembly Election of the largest state in India, Uttar Pradesh hasalways turned to be an important game-turner in Indian politics. The same applies for this year, the results will decide the future of PM Modi in India. Exit polls are to be released at 5:30 today evening and the actual results are to be released at 11th of March, 2017.

What happens if BJP wins?

  • This will prove the popularity of PM Modi and will prove to be a green flag towards his policies. Since Modi himself headed the campaign, the results will be personally affecting him which might not affect him immediately but will result in leaning behaviour at Lok Sabha elections.
  • BJP known for upper class generally has tried their hands on new strategy targeting non-Yadav OBCs and non-Jatav Dalits against Samajwadi Party’s Yadav vote bank and Bahujan Samaj Party’s Jatav vote bank. Victory in the election will be considered a pass test for the new strategy and can be applied to future elections.
  • Modi government will get a boost of support at Rajya Sabha with the increase in number of MPs. BJP faces minority in Rajya Sabha which turns out to be a hurdle while passing legislations. This will just get a lot easier with majority.

What if BJP loses?

  • Modi has lead the UP campaigns himself turning it into a personal battle, losing it will mean the fall of a political giant and will give credibility to opposition that popularity of Modi has deteriorated after demonetization.
  • The opponents would sink differences and get unified to bring Modi down by forming a strong joint. A national level alliance by BJP’s opponents can be a major challenge for Modi in Lok Sabha elections.
  • There might be disputed inside the party; after the defeat, the rebels will find strengths to raise their voices against PM Modi and party president Amit Shah.