The by-elections undergoing in Rajasthan for two parliamentary seats – Ajmer and Alwar and one assembly seat – Mandalgarh will prove to be a litmus test for the incumbent Vasundhara Raje led government in Rajasthan and will prove to be politically decisive for the upcoming Assembly elections in the state.

The by-poll elections are undergoing at Ajmer, Alwar for Lok Sabha seats and Mandalgarh in Bhilwara district for Vidhan Sabha seats – all three seats are held by BJP currently. These three bypolls will prove to be decisive for major political parties as it will show the inclination among people of Rajasthan for the upcoming assembly elections. The election will be intriguing as the ruling BJP party claims to reclaim all three seats as well as rule in the upcoming elections. However, the party faces an uphill battle against opposition as the raged and miffed Rajput community – which holds a majority in the state – has announced their support for Congress in all three seats and it cannot be ignored.

BJP and Miss Raje might still be unnerved and play their power card but caste equations always play a major role, sadly, in all elections held in India. The political parties always play the caste card, and they have played in the elections too – with two Yadav stalwarts in Alwar, Jat candidates in Ajmer and Brahmin in Mandalgarh. Also, the Rajput community is extremely miffed with the state government for the release of film Padmaavat in Rajasthan – despite their ‘protests’ and concerns; and it is still very fresh with just four days since the film released, giving out a better chance to the opposition. Snatching even one of the three seats from the BJP will be a big morale booster for the opposition party ahead of the assembly elections and parliament elections next year.

Although the winners will be chaired just for a year, because these are by-polls that are conducted due to vacancies created by death of BJP lawmakers who held the seats – the results will still be very important, politically. The results will be out after counting begins on Thursday. Also, by-elections are being held in West Bengal in parallel today, for the Uluberia Lok Sabha constituency and Noapara assembly seat amid tight security. However, it is the Rajasthan bypolls that will be decisive.